Race Lights

Southwell 17:30

Race 4 BetMGM Supports Safer Gambling Novice Stakes (1m 3f 23y)

5th Feb 26

WinnerShabab Al AhliSP 1.53
Horse
Shabab Al Ahli
Jockey
Connor Planas
Trainer
C Appleby
Top of the docket for the Southwell race at 17:30 is Shabab Al Ahli, a sprightly 3-year-old colt trained by the well-regarded C Appleby. With Connor Planas in the saddle, this horse is currently sitting pretty with short odds of 1.91, showing strong market confidence. Although a lack of detailed race history makes Shabab Al Ahli a bit of a mystery contender, the trainer's recent form can't be ignored. In the last 180 days, Appleby has secured a solid win rate of 37% from 134 races, including a couple of wins right here at Southwell. Planas might not have a glittering strike rate over the last 14 days, but coupled with Appleby's training, they've shown effectiveness when teamed up in the past. Not far behind in the predictions is Patient Game, guided by Callum Rodriguez and prepared by E Bethell. At odds of 10.00, this gelding provides a longer shot but could represent decent each-way value. Despite the horse's personal record being unestablished at this early stage, the trainer has had a functional last 180 days with a 16% victory rate from 212 races. Rodriguez's performance also hints at potential, with his pairing with Bethell showing some past success. Asia Force is another interesting contender, albeit with slightly better odds at 2.10 compared to Patient Game. Trained by K R Burke and ridden by S H James, the horse hasn't made waves in its limited starts, but the combo could surprise. Burke has seen a fair amount of winners recently and maintains a credible position in the racing circuit. Although a toss-up exists between Patient Game and Asia Force for those looking for value past the favorite, Shabab Al Ahli stands out at the top of the pack due to Appleby's sharp training skills and the promising, albeit brief, stats lining up. The racing conditions at Southwell look to favor a strong showing from this favorite. Best of luck with your wagers and remember to bet responsibly!
Article prices indicative and correct at 3:15 am on 5th February 2026

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Course SR 19.85% (from last 1058 races)

Course & Distance SR 15.49% (from last 71 races)

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