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Newton Abbot 15:08

Race 3 South West Rail Solutions Ltd Mares' Handicap Hurdle (2m 5f 122y)

4th Jul 25

Horse
Dancingontheedge
Jockey
H Cobden
Trainer
P F Nicholls
First up in our trio is Dancingontheedge, ready to leap and hurdle at Newton Abbot's Race 3 South West Rail Solutions Ltd Mares' Handicap Hurdle, covering a distance of 2m 5f 122y on a track whose condition is declared as 'Good-good to firm in places'. At 8 years of age and under the skilled hands of jockey H Cobden and trainer P F Nicholls, this seasoned mare is tipped at a live price of 5, showing reasonable value. Despite a sparse win record recently (1 out of 7 over the last 720 days, that too at this course and distance), Dancingontheedge's consistent participation is backed by a stable with strong performance stats. Trainer Nicholls has a healthy win rate over the last 30 days and a solid record at Newton Abbot, suggesting he’s quite adept at preparing competitors for this circuit. Cobden and Nicholls also share a commendable win rate in recent times, boosting confidence in this pairing. Our second contender is Organic, a lively 4-year-old filly racing under the guidance of C O'Farrell and trainer N P Mulholland. Based on her current long odds of 29 and underwhelming performance data, few might be poised to overlook her. However, it’s worth noting her youth and developing race prowess which could hint at untapped potential. The lack of winners in her recent form might deter most, but trainer Mulholland's broader win statistics provide a glimmer of hope. O'Farrell's lesser known association with this horse may also hold unseen synergies. Next on the list is Kenmya, stepping onto the course at a tempting price of 3.25. At 5 years old, this mare, steered by Harry Skelton and prepped by D Skelton, certainly has room for growth. Her recent form doesn't turn heads, with no wins out of 6 attempts over 720 days. However, the jockey-trainer pair, with a familial bond, has historically performed well together, especially at Newton Abbot. Predictably, Dancingontheedge under the skilled command of H Cobden and backed by powerhouse trainer P F Nicholls takes our bet as the likely winner of this hurdle. With her strong affinity for the course and distance, coupled with the robust backing of her team, she's poised to edge out her competitors. So, hop on, cheer for Dancingontheedge, and remember: always bet responsibly!
Article prices indicative and correct at 3:16 am on 4th July 2025
PHorseHTJJ/TRLSP
4th1. Dancingontheedge20377267350970
NR8. Organic06287218310937
2nd6. Kenmya05302229318831
PU9. Pretty Punctual05255195261742
PU2. Our Pink Lady05280170261733
3rd5. Miss Popalong04318183265713
5th7. Luna Run06285201233712
1st4. Hurst Hill04211185210611
6th3. Klervia05208167197583

Course SR 28.48% (from last 151 races)

Course & Distance SR 22.73% (from last 22 races)

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