Hammer Dan at Newton Abbot 19:20 - Tips, Betting, and Predictions

First up in the spotlight at Newton Abbot is 'Hammer Dan', a 7-year-old gelding, prepared to tackle the 3m 2f 105y of the 'Race 4 St Austell Brewery Handicap Hurdle' on a track listed as good to soft-soft in places, at 19:20. Entrusted to the skilled hands of jockey Jack Tudor and under the tutelage of D Pipe, Hammer Dan is priced at a value odds of 5.00. While recent form might seem sparse with no races in the past 30 days, a deeper look reveals a solid historical performance. Notably, Hammer Dan shows a commendable course strike rate over two years, combined with a decent long-term 50% strike rate in all races over the same period. Trainer D Pipe and jockey Jack Tudor's recent form don't radiate the same confidence, but this combination has historically delivered, hinting at potential underexploited synergy here. Next, consider 'Great D'ange', a 9-year-old running with odds of 12, suggesting he's a bit of a long shot in this event but not without merit. Trained by F Brennan and ridden by Tom Broughton, he's got experience on his side, though his recent and long-term form don't exactly shout 'winner' with only two race wins recorded in the last two years. The pairing of Brennan and Broughton hasn't set the world alight recently, which might be cause for concern to backers looking for a strong team performance. However, the horse's higher than usual rating and past experiences at tough distances keep him in the 'do not dismiss hastily' category. Lastly, 'Quite The Getaway' priced at 4.33, is another 7-year-old in the fray. With Sam Twiston-Davies as the jockey and trained by R Bevis, this team shows more promise. Twiston-Davies has a decent strike rate of about 15% over the last 60 days and has shown some aptitude at this course. This mare recently tasted victory which should boost her confidence going into this race. The stats lean favourably towards her ability at the distance, which paired with her recent form, makes her a tempting pick. With everything considered, Hammer Dan emerges as the prediction for this race. The performance metrics and slight edge in course familiarity might just tip the scales in his favour. Here's to hoping he hammers it down the field! As always, enjoy the flutter and remember, keep your bets fun and bet responsibly!
Article prices indicative and correct at 3:19 am on 13th June 2025

P	Horse	H	T	J	J/T	RL
2^nd	8. Hammer Dan	11⁴	6⁹	17⁵	9³	48⁰
NR	1. Great D'ange	10⁸	5¹	12⁹	5⁹	34²
4^th	5. Quite The Getaway	10⁹	8¹	17⁹	7³	31⁸
6^th	2. Presenting Yeats	9⁷	7⁵	14²	8¹	31¹
7^th	3. Boskill Borden	9⁴	5⁷	14⁶	7²	25⁵
NR	6. Shibuya Song	8⁸	5⁹	14⁷	7¹	25⁴
NR	10. Miss Popalong	9³	9⁶	13⁰	7¹	23¹
5^th	11. I Love You Sivola	9²	5⁸	15⁰	6⁹	20⁷
NR	4. Borderline	9³	7²	16⁰	7²	20³
3^rd	7. Hurst Hill	9³	5³	14³	4⁸	20²
1^st	9. Bredon Hill Dart	9²	8⁹	14³	4⁶	18⁸

Newton Abbot 19:20

Race 4 St Austell Brewery Handicap Hurdle (3m 2f 105y)

13th Jun 25