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Newton Abbot 19:20

Race 4 St Austell Brewery Handicap Hurdle (3m 2f 105y)

13th Jun 25

Horse
Hammer Dan
Jockey
Jack Tudor
Trainer
D Pipe
First up in the spotlight at Newton Abbot is 'Hammer Dan', a 7-year-old gelding, prepared to tackle the 3m 2f 105y of the 'Race 4 St Austell Brewery Handicap Hurdle' on a track listed as good to soft-soft in places, at 19:20. Entrusted to the skilled hands of jockey Jack Tudor and under the tutelage of D Pipe, Hammer Dan is priced at a value odds of 5.00. While recent form might seem sparse with no races in the past 30 days, a deeper look reveals a solid historical performance. Notably, Hammer Dan shows a commendable course strike rate over two years, combined with a decent long-term 50% strike rate in all races over the same period. Trainer D Pipe and jockey Jack Tudor's recent form don't radiate the same confidence, but this combination has historically delivered, hinting at potential underexploited synergy here. Next, consider 'Great D'ange', a 9-year-old running with odds of 12, suggesting he's a bit of a long shot in this event but not without merit. Trained by F Brennan and ridden by Tom Broughton, he's got experience on his side, though his recent and long-term form don't exactly shout 'winner' with only two race wins recorded in the last two years. The pairing of Brennan and Broughton hasn't set the world alight recently, which might be cause for concern to backers looking for a strong team performance. However, the horse's higher than usual rating and past experiences at tough distances keep him in the 'do not dismiss hastily' category. Lastly, 'Quite The Getaway' priced at 4.33, is another 7-year-old in the fray. With Sam Twiston-Davies as the jockey and trained by R Bevis, this team shows more promise. Twiston-Davies has a decent strike rate of about 15% over the last 60 days and has shown some aptitude at this course. This mare recently tasted victory which should boost her confidence going into this race. The stats lean favourably towards her ability at the distance, which paired with her recent form, makes her a tempting pick. With everything considered, Hammer Dan emerges as the prediction for this race. The performance metrics and slight edge in course familiarity might just tip the scales in his favour. Here's to hoping he hammers it down the field! As always, enjoy the flutter and remember, keep your bets fun and bet responsibly!
Article prices indicative and correct at 3:19 am on 13th June 2025

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Course SR 27.37% (from last 190 races)

Course & Distance SR 17.50% (from last 40 races)

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