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Market Rasen 20:45

Race 6 Rase Veterinary Nursing College Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle (2m 7f 16y)

13th Jun 25

WinnerCasting AspersionsSP 2.25
Horse
Casting Aspersions
Jockey
Fern O'Brien
Trainer
F O'Brien
Let's dive into the top three horses for tonight's Novices' Limited Handicap Hurdle at Market Rasen, starting with our predicted winner, 'Casting Aspersions'. A 6-year-old trained by F O'Brien and ridden by Fern O'Brien, he's stepping out on 'good' going over a challenging distance of 2m 7f 16y. With recent form showing 2 wins out of 4 runs in the last 180 days, he's in sharp form and holds a promising strike rate of 50% over this period. His modest long-term strike rate of 22% from 9 races suggests he's hitting his stride recently. Trainer F O'Brien has seen some decent success with a 30-day win rate of 20%, though course-specific success is yet to shine through. Fern O'Brien, while not lighting up the stats recently, teams up decently well with these connections. With a live price of 2.38, he's the short-priced favourite and the model's top choice for a good reason. 'Jungle Wood', another 6-year-old gelding, serves as a long shot in this field with a live price of 19. Trained by Mrs Sara V Bradstock and with Miss L Bradstock in the saddle, he's coming off a sparse recent race record having only raced once in the last 180 days and not securing a win. A notable absence of wins over the long-term where he has raced 4 times without success over 720 days sets him apart as a hopeful rather than a headline contender. Team Bradstock has a lower strike rate recently, so this run would need to defy the immediate form book to register in the winner's circle. Rounding out our top three picks is 'Star Vantage', ridden by Nathan Moscrop and trained by R Menzies. At 8 years old, he comes into the race at a value price of 4.0. Having had 9 outings in the last 180 days and not managing a win, his strike rates aren't quite as promising as our frontrunner. His broader credentials over 720 days (15 races, no wins) might not scream confidence, but Menzies maintains a steady input with a 10% strike rate over 180 days. If looking for a value play, 'Star Vantage' could present that opportunity. It's worth noting that 'Galway Reel' has an interesting middle ground price of 6.5 but let's focus on the major players first. As ever, may your bets be savvy and your cheering loud – and remember, always bet responsibly!
Article prices indicative and correct at 2:15 pm on 13th June 2025

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Course SR 25.38% (from last 197 races)

Course & Distance SR 15.79% (from last 19 races)

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