Hot Property at Lingfield 15:50 - Top tips, betting and prediction

Hot Property heads the field as the favorite for the Race 4 bet365 Handicap at Lingfield, set to sprint over 1 mile and 1 yard on the Standard (AW - Polytrack) surface. Set for a 15:50 start, this 3-year-old colt, under the guidance of jockey Callum Shepherd and trainer C Johnston, is the dark horse with live odds sitting at a long 29. Despite a lackluster recent form showing no wins in the last 30 days from zero races and a minor slip in form over the last 720 days (1 win in 6 starts), the lengthy odds might just turn heads for an optimistic punter feeling lucky. Trainer C Johnston’s form offers a small ray of hope with a decent strike rate of 13% over the last 180 days, suggesting he could potentially coax a surprise performance from this outsider. Gallant comes in with a stronger recent record under the reputed partnership of jockey Oisin Murphy and trainer A M Balding. The colt is tagged with a short price of 2.2, reflecting confidence due to Murphy’s impressive 26% win rate over the past 14 days. Gallant’s form has been solid if not spectacular, competing once within the last 30 days without securing a win but overall managing 1 win from 5 starts over the last 720 days. This duo’s blend of hopeful youth and seasoned expertise makes them a threat on any betting slip. Transparent holds the middle ground with a value price of 4.5. Trained by T Ward and ridden by Tom Marquand, this colt doesn't quite dazzle with his recent race history but boasts a 40% win rate over the last 720 days. Though his placement success in racing over similar distance recently stands at 33%, which gives him a puncher's chance in this matchup. Marquand and Ward have had a muted season by their standards with strike rates hovering around the 10-17% mark, suggesting that while capable, Transparent might need a bit of racing luck to truly shine today. Amongst such a competitive field, our model favors Hot Property for an upset win, despite the long odds. So, if you're feeling adventurous, why not take a punt on Hot Property? Remember, the track might just favor the brave today! And as always, bet responsibly!
Article prices indicative and correct at 3:17 am on 5th June 2025

P	Horse	H	T	J	J/T	RL
7^th	3. Hot Property	2⁸	11⁰	10⁶	20³	26⁰
1^st	2. Gallant	2⁹	13⁶	13⁶	18⁷	22⁷
3^rd	1. Transparent	4¹	7³	11⁷	16⁰	19⁷
4^th	7. Invincible Duke	2⁵	9⁹	10¹	17⁸	19⁶
6^th	4. Troy Story	2⁷	10⁸	14⁶	16⁹	19⁶
5^th	8. Threatening	3⁰	11⁸	8⁷	16³	18⁵
NR	5. Padua	2⁹	6⁷	11⁸	15⁴	18⁴
2^nd	6. Lazieelunch	4⁴	7⁶	8¹	12⁴	13⁶

Lingfield 15:50

Race 4 bet365 Handicap (1m 1y)

5th Jun 25