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Kempton 17:05

Race 1 Unibet Support Safer Gambling Restricted Novice Stakes (7f)

21st May 25

WinnerBrize NortonSP 1.91
Horse
Brize Norton
Jockey
Hector Crouch
Trainer
R M Beckett
Lining up at Kempton for the 17:05 'Race 1 Unibet Support Safer Gambling Restricted Novice Stakes' over 7f on a 'Standard to slow (AW - Polytrack)' going, we have some intriguing contenders. Let's dive into the prospects for the top three horses according to the prediction model, with a particular focus on the predicted winner, Brize Norton. First up, Brize Norton, the 3-year-old gelding trained by R M Beckett and ridden by Hector Crouch, is stepping into this race as the top pick. Priced fairly short at 2.38, which reflects confidence from the market, although racing on a course strike rate that could be deemed less encouraging. Despite a lack of winners in the last 30 to 720 days, the training performance from Beckett has been solid with a 12% win rate in the last 30 days, hinting at potential hidden in those lackluster broader stats. In pursuit, we have Believe The Storm, a 4-year-old gelding teaming up with K Shoemark and C Fellowes. The longer price of 8 could appeal to value seekers, especially given the horse has clocked a win recently, marking a bright spot in an otherwise sparse race history. The combination Shoemark and Fellowes hasn't set the world alight lately, but they're not without skill. A shrewd eye might find value here if conditions click for Believe The Storm. Karthala is another 3-year-old gelding, priced similarly at 8, ridden by J Mitchell for R Varian. Mitchell's 27% win rate over the last 60 days is noteworthy and could indicate an upcoming powerful performance. However, Karthala's racing history doesn't scream confidence, with no wins noted in the available data. A quick nod to Analytical Engine, the absolute long shot at 126. Always a thrill in horse racing is an underdog story, but punters might find their money better spent on a more likely candidate based on form and figures. Good luck to all the bettors! Remember, it's not just about picking the winners but enjoying the thrill of the race. And as always, bet responsibly!
Article prices indicative and correct at 11:19 am on 21st May 2025

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Course SR 20.89% (from last 852 races)

Course & Distance SR 21.50% (from last 200 races)

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