Native Spirit top tip at Nottingham 16:32 - Race insights and betting predictions

First up in our betting preview, we have Native Spirit at Nottingham's 1m 2f 50y run on the 20th of May at 16:32. This 3-year-old colt is trained by the noteworthy C Appleby and will be navigated by jockey W Buick. Native Spirit comes in with live odds of 4, placing him in the value category. Looking at the recent form, there's not much to analyze as there are no races recorded in the past 30 days. However, with a trainer who has a winning strike rate of 37% in the last 30 days, and combining forces with jockey W Buick, boasting a 20% winning rate in the same time frame, this horse shows promise despite the lack of recent races. Next, we've got Tenability joining the fray with significantly longer odds of 17. Also aged 3, and with the aid of jockey Cieren Fallon and under the guidance of trainer W J Haggas, this gelding is a bit of a wildcard. Like Native Spirit, Tenability does not boast any recent race form to scrutinize. Despite a decent trainer winning rate of 25% in the last 30 days, the lack of past performance data sets Tenability as a less favored choice, reflected clearly in the odds. Course and distance specifics also remain a mystery for Tenability, so perhaps best to keep the stakes conservative here. Golden Handshake, another 3-year-old gelding but with mid-range odds of 11, is up for a challenge. Teamed with jockey Tom Marquand and the same trainer as Tenability, W J Haggas, there's a touch of consistency in this stable's entrants. Yet again, with no recordable form or previous runs in the last 30 days, we're banking purely on the known good performance statistics of trainer and jockey combos here. Golden Handshake might just surprise us if you're in for a bit of a risk. To wrap it up, while Native Spirit certainly appears to be our best bet of the race according to the model prediction for the win, the field seems open with all entries lacking recent form data. Whatever you choose to back, remember to punt wisely, throw in a few laughs with your mates, and keep it fun! Good luck, and bet responsibly!
Article prices indicative and correct at 2:11 am on 20th May 2025

Horse	H	T	J	J/T	RL	Bet
6. Native Spirit	-	28⁵	21⁷	38¹	29⁹
8. Tenability	-	20³	18³	29⁵	22³
5. Golden Handshake	-	20³	17⁴	29³	22¹
4. Earthwatch	-	20³	15⁹	29⁶	21⁹
3. Desert Shadow	-	16⁸	21¹	30¹	20⁸
1. Elzour	-	16³	17¹	29⁸	19⁸
9. Only One Blue	-	17²	17⁰	25⁴	19²	NR
7. Serenity Blue	-	15⁸	16⁹	27⁰	18⁸
2. My Mate Charlie	-	15⁴	12⁷	29⁶	18⁶

Nottingham 16:32

Race 5 Family Fun Raceday Sunday 1st June Novice Stakes (1m 2f 50y)

20th May 25